OpenAI board chair Bret Taylor believes AI is in a bubble. Yet he insists this is not cause for alarm.
In a recent interview with The Verge, Taylor supported earlier remarks by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, who warned that “someone is going to lose a phenomenal amount of money in AI.”
Taylor agreed with the statement. However, he also emphasized the long-term potential of the technology.
The Dot-Com Bubble
Taylor drew a direct line between today’s AI boom and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s.
During that period, numerous internet startups rose quickly but collapsed once the bubble burst. But despite those failures, the internet itself reshaped the global economy.
According to Taylor, “all the people in 1999 were kind of right.” While many businesses failed, the vision of a connected digital age proved accurate.
He argued that AI may follow the same pattern. Several companies may not survive, yet the technology will endure and transform industries.
Also read: AI Bubble Burst: Is It Coming, and What Would It Mean?
Bubble
Taylor pointed to clear signs of a bubble in the AI sector: Capital inflows are immense; startups are attracting billions of dollars in funding.
Companies are valued far above their proven earnings, and the hype is intense; public attention is growing faster than practical results.
Taylor acknowledged these risks. Still, he described them as common features of periods of rapid innovation.
Historical Precedent
History supports his view.
- The dot-com bubble produced failures but also gave rise to Amazon and Google.
- The railroad boom in the 1800s caused investor losses, yet railroads became vital to commerce.
- The housing crisis in 2008 triggered financial reform and new oversight.
These examples suggest that bubbles can destroy capital but also lay the foundation for lasting change. Taylor argued that AI is on the same trajectory.
Long-term Implications
The bubble will affect markets more than daily life. Chatbots, design tools, and AI-driven assistants will continue to appear. But investors and startups will bear the greatest risk.
Over time, however, consumers may benefit most. Just as the internet brought online banking, e-commerce, and digital entertainment, AI may deliver personal health tools, adaptive tutors, and advanced workplace assistants.
Duality
Taylor’s perspective is measured. He accepts the risks but underscores the promise. AI may be overvalued in the short term.
At the same time, it may also become one of the most significant technologies of the century. This dual reality reflects his central point.
A bubble can exist without undermining the long-term value of the technology itself. For Taylor, the turbulence is temporary.
